On July 3rd we reported how fighting was going on near Izvarino, but still large convoys were able to cross the border north of Izvarino.
On July 4th we reported about 6 tanks spotted in Krasnodon probably going to engage the Ukrainian company that was operating near Izvarino border crossing.
Since then we have not heard much, but once in a while a messages came in.
On July 5th:
News coming #ATO forces @ #Izvarino BGCP are encircled. They fear might not to see another day. #UkraineThat doesn't sound good at all.
— lennutrajektoor (@lennutrajektoor) July 5, 2014
On the same date this:
Tymchuk: #Lugansk reg, #Ukraine aviation attacked (pro)RU near border checkpoint #Izvarino and destroyed 2 tanks which were shelling airportSo probably the air force saved them?
— Ukraine Reporter (@StateOfUkraine) July 5, 2014
#Ukraine air support rescued encircled #ATO forces at #Izvarino by suppressing hostile fire. (Tymchuk)
— Margaret3786 (@Margaret3786) July 6, 2014
Yes, it seems like that.
On July 7th:
Thoughts @hrw & @TanyaLokshina? "@lennutrajektoor:...#RUS truck w... howitzer didn't make through #Izvarino BGCP.... pic.twitter.com/Vp0kpWPYpf"This is the only photo we have seen for days and it gives the impression Ukraine is still quite in control.
— Chris Brulak (@cbrulak) July 7, 2014
#Bolotov: "In some areas the front line moved in our favor. We're still controlling #Izvarino border region" pic.twitter.com/k8iRQpKfQGNow Baby@Truth_seeker ia a (pro)Russian account and as such NOT reliable at all. He uses a photo that was taken three days earlier. But it doesn't mean that always everything they say is a lie. So there might be a problem here.
— Babay (@Truth_Seeker_11) July 8, 2014
@Catherina_news (also heavily biased Russian account) even spins a more inconceivable story on this in an attempt to create a heros:
#Izvarino #Lugansk, Alexander Skryabin threw himself w/ a bunch of grenades under a #Ukraine tank & destroyed it pic.twitter.com/igDMpneI0BThe photo of the tank is taken in Irak in 2003. The story really sounds far-fetched and the evidence given is faked, so it can not be taken serious.
— Catherina (@Catherina_News) July 8, 2014
Also the Russian MilitaryMaps shows Izvarino as territory retaken again (as well as North of Lugansk and Konstyantynivka):
These Russian sources all copy each others propaganda lies so it is hard to say something senseful about it.
But @interpreter_mag shows an interview with LPRs self-declared leader Bolotov claiming they got control over Izvarino again:
Ukraine Liveblog: 'Lugansk People's Republic' Leader Claims Control of Izvarino Border Crossing. http://t.co/kmufDHCVtIThe other sources may go back to this interview.
— The Interpreter (@Interpreter_Mag) July 8, 2014
We may have to take this message serious. Of course if it is true, it is bad news. When the borders are not closed reinforcements will still pour in.
Dolzhanskyi border crossing
At Dolzhankyi border crossing things may also not be really well. In this video from July 7th we see (pro)Russians retaking it:
If this is really a meaningful event remains to be seen. The border crossing are mostly abandoned and not operating. So if either side checks for activity once in a while it does not mean they have it in control. The real question is where the Ukrainian companies are and whether the road is accessible/usable or not.